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CORNING INC /NY (GLW) Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 delivered above guidance on core metrics: Core sales rose 13% y/y to $3.68B and core EPS rose 42% y/y to $0.54; GAAP sales were $3.45B and GAAP EPS $0.18 . Optical Enterprise demand for Gen AI products drove 106% y/y growth; Display maintained strong profitability with 26.9% net income margin .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, GLW beat EPS and came in below on revenue: EPS $0.54 vs $0.512*; GAAP revenue $3.45B vs $3.63B* (see table) (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
  • Q2 guidance: Core sales ≈$3.85B and core EPS $0.55–$0.59; guidance embeds ~$0.01–$0.02 EPS headwind from tariffs and ~$0.03 temporary ramp costs for GenAI/solar .
  • Execution catalysts: accelerating U.S. solar wafer ramp (workforce lifted to ~1,500; capacity essentially sold out for 2025) and continued Enterprise AI adoption; management reiterated the Springboard plan to add >$4B annualized sales and reach 20% operating margin by end-2026 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • Optical Enterprise strength: “Enterprise sales were $705 million for the quarter, up 106% [y/y]” on Gen AI product adoption .
    • Display profitability proof-point: “We successfully implemented double-digit price increases… Q1 net income margin 26.9%” .
    • Springboard confidence intact: “We reiterate our… plan to add more than $4 billion in annualized sales and… operating margin of 20% by the end of 2026” .
  • What Went Wrong
    • Auto market softness: Automotive sales $440M, down 10% y/y, with continued weakness in European/North American light- and heavy-duty markets .
    • Life Sciences sluggish: Sales $234M, down 1% y/y; net income flat at $13M .
    • GAAP optics: GAAP net income and EPS down 25% y/y to $157M and $0.18, respectively, driven by mark-to-market FX items and other non-core factors .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
GAAP Net Sales ($B)3.391 3.501 3.452
Core Sales ($B)3.733 3.874 3.679
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)-0.14 0.36 0.18
Core EPS ($)0.54 0.57 0.54
GAAP Gross Margin %33.5% 34.2% 35.2%
Core Gross Margin %39.2% 38.6% 37.9%
GAAP Operating Margin %8.9% 11.2% 12.9%
Core Operating Margin %18.3% 18.5% 18.0%

Q1 2025 actuals vs S&P Global consensus

MetricActualConsensus*Surprise
EPS ($)0.54 0.51221*+$0.03
GAAP Revenue ($B)3.452 3.63036*-$0.18

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment net sales

Segment Net Sales ($M)Q1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Optical Communications930 1,368 1,355
Display872 971 905
Specialty Materials454 515 501
Automotive491 446 440
Life Sciences236 250 234
Hemlock & Emerging Growth275 324 244

Selected KPIs

KPIQ1 2025Prior/Context
Enterprise (Optical) sales ($M)705 +106% y/y
Display net income margin26.9% Pricing actions H2’24; NI target $900–$950M in FY25
Core ROIC11.6% +300 bps y/y
Operating Cash Flow ($M)151 Q1 typically seasonal low
Adj. Free Cash Flow ($M)-1 2024 FCF $1.25B
Quarterly dividend ($/sh)0.28 (declared May 1) Payable Jun 27, 2025

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Core SalesQ2 2025≈$3.85B New
Core EPSQ2 2025$0.55–$0.59 New
EPS Tariff ImpactQ2 2025~$0.01–$0.02 headwind New
EPS Ramp Cost Impact (GenAI/Solar)Q2 2025~-$0.03 temporary New
Display Segment Net IncomeFY 2025$900–$950M (Q4 guide) $900–$950M (reaffirmed) Maintained
CapExFY 2025≈$1.3B New
DividendQ2 2025$0.28/sh declared (payable Jun 27) Declared

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2: Q3’24)Previous Mentions (Q-1: Q4’24)Current Period (Q1’25)Trend
AI/GenAI optical (Enterprise)Enterprise +55% y/y; strong adoption Enterprise +93% y/y Enterprise +106% y/y; $705M sales Accelerating
Carrier fiberInventory drawdown done; growth resuming in 2025; DCI product commercialized Improving
Solar rampUS-made ingot/wafer commercialization in 2H25; 2025 capacity sold; workforce to ~1,500 Ramping
Display pricing/profitPrice increases; 2025 NI $900–$950M target Reiterated Display NI target Q1 NI margin 26.9%; target reaffirmed Stable/strong
Tariffs/supply chainRisk disclosures Direct impact minimal ($0.01–$0.02 EPS); 90% US revenue from US-origin products Manageable
AutomotiveEnviro Tech softness; HD diesel downcycle Environmental -7% y/y Auto sales -10% y/y; segment created Near-term soft
Life Sciences+6% y/y +3% y/y -1% y/y Flattening

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered outstanding first quarter results that exceeded guidance. We grew sales 13% y/y to $3.7 billion… EPS… to $0.54. We expanded operating margin… to 18%” .
  • “For Q2, we expect… sales ≈$3.85 billion… EPS $0.55 to $0.59, including… tariffs ($0.01–$0.02) and… ramp costs (~$0.03)” .
  • “The direct impact of currently enacted tariffs is not significant for Corning” .
  • “Enterprise sales were $705 million… up 106%” .
  • “We remain confident that we can deliver [Display] net income of $900 million to $950 million in 2025 and… margin of 25%” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Pricing power: Management cited prior success passing inflation and sees pricing tailwinds in solar (U.S.-sourced demand) and margin opportunity in next-gen optical as supply remains tight .
  • Ramp costs vs CapEx: Ramp expenses are mainly fixed OpEx during scale-up; 2025 CapEx guidance steady at ~$1.3B; optical capacity adds are not CapEx-intensive .
  • GenAI visibility: Quarterly reviews with hyperscalers reinforce growth outlook; demand across customers tends to balance changes by any single buyer .
  • Tariffs/customer relocation: Minimal direct impact; company prepared for regional shifts (e.g., India/Vietnam finishing) to support customers’ supply chain optimization .
  • Display outlook: TV units roughly flat (~207M) with ~1” diagonal growth; Q2 panel utilization expected to normalize after slightly elevated Q1 .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025: EPS beat; revenue miss vs S&P Global consensus: $0.54 vs $0.512* (+$0.03) and GAAP revenue $3.45B vs $3.63B* (-$0.18B). Management’s focus on core metrics (core sales $3.68B) and margin expansion underpinned the EPS beat (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
  • Q2 2025 setup: Company guides core sales ≈$3.85B and core EPS $0.55–$0.59 . S&P Global consensus sits near EPS ~$0.571* and revenue ~$3.84B*, implying guidance brackets EPS consensus and is broadly in line on revenue (Values retrieved from S&P Global).

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Enterprise AI remains a powerful growth engine; triple-digit y/y growth sustained with commercialization of data center interconnect products and multiple Tier-1 adopters .
  • Display profitability is durable post-pricing actions; Q1 margin of 26.9% supports the $900–$950M FY25 NI target despite yen volatility and constant-currency reset to ¥120 .
  • Near-term headwinds in Automotive and Life Sciences persist, but structural content gains in auto glass and macro-resilient solar ramp offer medium-term offsets .
  • Q2 guide is constructive with EPS growth outpacing sales; embedded headwinds (tariffs, ramp costs) quantify downside and should fade in 2H as scale effects kick in .
  • Cash conversion improving; Q1 seasonally low but 2025 FCF expected to strengthen; capital returns continue via buybacks alongside stable $0.28 dividend .
  • Strategic U.S. manufacturing footprint (90% US revenue from US-origin products) limits tariff risk and may be a demand catalyst as customers prioritize domestic sourcing .

Citations

  • Q1 2025 8-K press release and exhibits
  • Q1 2025 earnings call transcript
  • Q4 2024 8-K press release
  • Q3 2024 8-K press release
  • Dividend press release

Note on estimates: Values marked with an asterisk (*) are retrieved from S&P Global.

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